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	<title>UncensoredRants.com &#187; wachovia</title>
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		<title>Could Citigroup Fold?</title>
		<link>http://www.uncensoredrants.com/2008/11/21/could-citigroup-fold/</link>
		<comments>http://www.uncensoredrants.com/2008/11/21/could-citigroup-fold/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2008 16:38:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>ranter</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Corporate Finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Government]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rants]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[700 billion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[aig]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bankruptcy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[C]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CitiCard]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[citigroup]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[consumer confidence]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[failure]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[financial sector]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[job losses citicard]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[liquidity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TARP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[wachovia]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.uncensoredrants.com/?p=295</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.uncensoredrants.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/citigroup_sign.jpg"><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-300" title="Citigroup Center in San Francisco" src="http://www.uncensoredrants.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/citigroup_sign-300x210.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="210" /></a>It&#8217;s difficult to imagine a world without Citigroup (Citibank, Citi Cards, Citi Mortgage, Primerica, etc.), but with their stock closing down another 26.41% today, to close at $4.71 (<a title="Citigroup Quote" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=c" target="_blank">C</a>), it&#8217;s also difficult, in these troubled financial times, to imagine a scenario that allows Citigroup to continue operations going in the direction that they are.  Once the largest bank in the United States, Citigroup&#8217;s assets and market value have fallen over 65% in November alone.  As if that isn&#8217;t bad enough, the word on the street is that government intervention or outside investment may be necessary for their survival &#8211; which is basically the kiss of death in this market.</p>
<p>The biggest problem here today is that Citigroup has both a liquidity and solvency issue.  Thy&#8217;re working to calm their investors, but the market is already so shell-shocked from the other failures to date that these reassurances are falling on deaf ears.  In retrospect, it&#8217;s easy to see how big a blow losing the bid for Wachovia was and following that with an announcement announcing the elimaination of 52,000 jobs worldwide compounded the problem from a public relations standpoint.</p>
<p><span id="more-295"></span></p>
<p>The good news is that Citi is trying to control costs.  They are reducing expenses.  They are making the changes necessary.  They have people willing to invest in them and <span style="text-decoration: line-through;">idiots</span> analysts willing to give them a buy rating even now.  The bad news is that, like so many others, there is a considerable unknown as to the extent of Citi&#8217;s losses and damages from their derivatives portfolio.  Add to that the job losses which will ultimately reduce consumer&#8217;s ability to pay their Citicard debts and you have what are likely too many unknowns for even a company of this size.</p>
<p>Finally, though, you&#8217;re going to hear what I think is wrong with Paulsen&#8217;s plan and the way that he has been using Tarp funds.  Forget about AIG.  Forget about the Big 3.  Think back to what the original funds were approved for &#8211; to prop up the financial sector.  Citigroup is a cornerstone of what most consumers see as the financial market &#8211; Paulsen should be making every effort to shore up their perceived value and their ability to prevail in these tough times.  Show America, without splashing it across the media, that Citigroup deserves to survive as much as AIG.</p>
<p>Can you imagine what it would do to consumer confidence if all of a sudden their Citibank card was declined in the market because the government was unwilling to pitch in and lend a hand when Citigroup and the country needed it most?  It&#8217;s unimagineable for me and I can&#8217;t see a scenario where this isn&#8217;t followed by the failure of bank after bank after bank.</p>
<p>Ranter</p>
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		<title>American Media Sucks</title>
		<link>http://www.uncensoredrants.com/2008/10/22/american-media-sucks/</link>
		<comments>http://www.uncensoredrants.com/2008/10/22/american-media-sucks/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 22 Oct 2008 20:16:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>ranter</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Corporate Finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[goldfarb]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[goodwill]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[losses]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mergers and acquisitions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[reputation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[truth from fiction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[wachovia]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.uncensoredrants.com/?p=26</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I&#8217;m assuming that I&#8217;m like most modern Americans &#8211; I love the news.  The uglier the better.  Like most Americans I want to believe that the people reporting the news have some insight, maybe a few sources sources, and most importantly the ability to report the truth without adding fiction.  Unfortunately, and especially with the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;m assuming that I&#8217;m like most modern Americans &#8211; I love the news.  The uglier the better.  Like most Americans I want to believe that the people reporting the news have some insight, maybe a few sources sources, and most importantly the ability to report the truth without adding fiction.  Unfortunately, and especially with the recent turmoils in the market, I&#8217;m coming to believe that the American media is a bunch of morons spouting out what they think &#8211; something like I do here &#8211; leading &#8220;Main Street&#8221; Americans to lose faith in the systems and values of being an American.  I, for one, am sick of this bullshit and want to call a spade a spade.</p>
<p><span id="more-26"></span></p>
<p>The article that spurred this article for me is from WashingtonPost.com, with a headline of &#8220;Wachovia Posts the Largest-Ever Loss for a Bank.&#8221;  Dramatic.  Catchy.  Untrue &#8211; <a title="Read Between the Lines" href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/10/22/AR2008102201873.html" target="_blank">this article is full of shit</a>.  What I get out of this after reading through the whole thing &#8211; mouth agape &#8211; is that the author, Zachary Goldfarb, believes that this title is deserving while putting the truth in the sixth paragraph.  There he writes:</p>
<blockquote><p>Most of Wachovia&#8217;s loss &#8212; $18.8 billion &#8212; stems from  writing down the value of its reputation, brand and experience, an intangible  measure known as &#8220;goodwill&#8221; that mainly plays a role in setting a company&#8217;s  value in mergers and acquisitions. The company lost $2.5 billion on its  portfolio of loans and put away billions more to cover expected future losses.</p></blockquote>
<p>That, to me, is a lot different than having thousands of homeowners go belly up or run away from their loans resulting in the sale of something for $400,000 that they originally loaned $800,000 on; resulting in a <strong>loss</strong> of $400,000.  This, to me, is like someone saying &#8220;we thought our company was worth $18.8 billion dollars more than it was.  Whoops.</p>
<p>So, was the article truthful, yeah, they did &#8220;lose&#8221; a lot of money, but  into it and saying that their loss is the most important thing here, perhaps the author could have told the American public that the tax laws that allow them to take this loss (thus paying less taxes) need to be changed in a way that doesn&#8217;t allow this extreme behavior.  Why does the media have to perpetuate the negative or walk a gray line &#8211; why can&#8217;t they report the truth?</p>
<p>Did Wachovia lose a shitload of money?  Yes, they lost a lot of money and I don&#8217;t imagine that they will stop bleeding red ink any time soon.  That&#8217;s fine, everyone knows that, but did they really lose $23.9 billion last quarter?  I don&#8217;t think so, but then again I don&#8217;t work for the WashingtonPost.com.</p>
<p>Ranter</p>
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